Bibliothèque de L'IMIST/CNRST

Revised papers of an international symposium, held at Bielefeld University, Nov. 10-12, 1982.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Part 1 : Introduction. Introduction to decision making under uncertainty : biases, fallacies and the development of decision making -- Part 2 : Cognitive decision research. The theoretical status of judgmental heuristics / Thomas S. Wallsten ; The base rate fallacy controversy / Maya Bar-Hillel ; The two camps on rationality / Helmut Jungermann ; The role of heuristics in models of decision / Rudolf Groner, Marina Groner and Walter F. Bischof ; On the testability of the availability heuristic / Klaus Fiedler ; Problem structuring calculi and levels of knowledge representation in decision making / Patrick Humphreys and Dina Berkeley ; Verbal vs. numerical processing of subjective probabilities / Alf C. Zimmer ; Subjective expected utility : a model of decision making / Baruch Fischoff, Bernard Goitein and Zur Shapira -- Part 3 : Social interaction. Conditions of violating individual rationality / Werner H. Tack ; Biases in group decision making / Helmut W. Crott and Johannes A. Zuber ; The dependance of cognition and behavior in 2 x 2 matrice games / Ulrich Schulz and Theo May ; On the prominence structure of the decimal system / Wulf Albers and Gisela Albers -- Part 4 : Development and epistemology. Conceptual and theoretical issues in developmental research on the acquisition of the probability concept / Roland W. Scholz and Manfred Waller ; The perception of probability situations in pupils aged 12 to 14 / Georges Glaeser ; The psychology of inference and the teaching of probability and statistics : two sides of the same coin? / J. Michael Shaugnessy ; (Mis- ) Interpretation of stochastic models / George Schrage ; Randomness and stochastic independence-- on the relationship between intuitive notion and mathematical definition / Gerd volume Harten and Heinz Steinbring ; Decision-theoretic paradoxes / Georg Pflug -- Part 5 : Comments. The possible and the profitable : some remarks on the symposium's impact on decision research / Baruch Fischoff ; The importance of the fictional for theories of knowledge : some remarks on the symposium's impact on cognitive psychology / Alf C. Zimmer ; Why are developmental psychologists biased with regard to the biasedness of the human subject? : some remarks on the symposium's impact on developmental psychology / Manfred Waller ; Individual decision making and social psychology : some remarks on the symposium's impact onsocial psychology / Katrin Borcherding ; Towards a theory of limited rationality : some remarks on the symposium's impact on economic theory / Reinhard Selten ; Towards an education for decision behavior : some remarks on the symposium's impact on mathematical education / Hans-georg Steiner.

This volume contains the revised papers of an international symposium on research on fallacies, biases, and the development of decision behavior under uncertainty. The papers are organized in five main sections. The Introduction outlines the conceptual framework and how three of the sections - Cognitive Decision Research, Social Interaction, and Development and Epistemology - are interrelated and also how new fields, such as research into developmental questions, can be productively integrated. In the fifth section Comments are collected, which evaluate the impact of the contributions on decision research itself, and also on cognitive psychology, social psychology, economic theory, ant the discipline of mathematics education.

Description based on print version record.